Us Election Day Stock Market History

The night of the 2016 election as more states began reporting and a trump victory became increasingly likely stock market futures sank rapidly.

Us election day stock market history. The stock market and elections. Stock market has posted a gain 84 of the time in election year decembers since 1944 versus 74 for all decembers. When it s a general election the equity market underperforms slightly explains tom hainlin national investment strategist at u s.

However it can indicate possible trends. The market gained an average of 45 9 with democratic presidents compared to 19 1 under republicans measured from election day to election day with recent closing used for the trump term of. Cfra suggests that an end to election uncertainty has been a factor as.

A review of market data for the s p 500 going back to the 1930s revealed that certain patterns emerged over those 90 years. S p 500 annual stock market returns during election years. It happened in 1932 1960 and 2008 when republicans held the white.

Election day is just over a week away and history says that s good news for stocks. The s p 500 fell more than 5 in premarket trading. History cannot tell us what will happen with the stock market.

The analysts saw that on average both stock equity and bond markets showed more muted performance in the year leading up to a presidential election than they did at other times. In the past the market has experienced increased fluctuation leading up to election day and this year was no different. But the last incumbent to win under these.

There have only been nine election days in the data because the stock market was closed on election days for the 1980 election and before. Over the last 30 years the s p 500 has rallied in the week before the presidential election. Election day however has been bullish when markets have.