Us Election 2020 Polls 538

Presidential election including polling data and who is leading between trump and biden in key swing states.

Us election 2020 polls 538. President since 1992 and the eleventh incumbent in the country s history to fail to win re election to a second term and. Election 2020 don t. The electoral college comprises a total of 538 members with each state getting a total number.

The democratic ticket of former vice president joe biden and incumbent u s. Nate silver s fivethirtyeight uses statistical analysis hard numbers to tell compelling stories about elections politics sports science economics and lifestyle. Our 2020 forecasts presidential senate house are all now officially frozen meaning we won t be ingesting any new polls or updating the odds in any race.

The 2020 united states presidential election was the 59th quadrennial presidential election held nominally on tuesday november 3 2020. Trump became the first u s. Instead follow along on our election day live blog as we track results in real time.

Don t believe anything the 2020 exit polls tell you fivethirtyeight. Get a unique perspective of the presidential election with analysis around republican and democratic campaigns debates polls election results and more. 06 24 24 mins ago.

In 2016 fivethirtyeight caught a lot of flack for forecasting that hillary clinton had. Polls marked with an asterisk are partisan polls. Pollsters that did not release any horse race polls within three weeks of an election since 1998 do not have a grade and are treated as a c by the grade filter.

Partisanship is determined by who sponsors the poll rather than. Senator from california kamala harris defeated the republican ticket of incumbent president donald trump and vice president mike pence. Polls from firms that are banned by fivethirtyeight are not shown.