Election Prediction For House

2020 us house election predictions.

Election prediction for house. House races are winner take all and a party s share of seats can differ from its vote share. A consensus outlook for the 2020 house elections based on the current ratings of sabato s crystal ball the cook political report and inside elections as well as the probabilistic fivethirtyeight model. Can the democrats retake the house in 2020.

Inside elections now projects democrats will post a net gain of 10 to 20 seats democrats have between a 92 and 97 percent chance of keeping control of the house wrote 538 s nathaniel rakich. How the house forecast has changed. Consensus forecast a consensus outlook for the 2018 house elections based on the current ratings of sabato s crystal ball the cook political report and inside elections.

Young defeated galvin by 7 points in 2018 but polls suggest the race could be closer this year. May 30 analysis in our first full house forecast of the year we predict a democratic gain of four seats to give them a 39 seat majority. 11 2020 10 19 p m.

President trump 260 46 biden 278 46. Summary of each compeititive race with links to polls and commentary. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of each party s share of all votes for house candidates surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.

House election results democrats have kept the house but are unlikely to expand their majority despite predictions of another blue wave. His wildest 2020 prediction though is that republicans will take back the house of representatives. Don young the dean of the house faces a rematch from alyse galvin.

For purposes of this map only states rated safe by all four of these projections are shown in the darkest shade. See how each party s forecasted seat total and chances of controlling the house have changed over time. National popular vote for the house.