Election Prediction 2020 Jamaica

As the constitution stipulates a five year parliamentary term 2 the next elections were not expected until between 25 february and 10 june 2021.

Election prediction 2020 jamaica. The latest from politico s 2020 election forecast. From the first general election until now the rjrgleaner media group have been providing credible news coverage over the years and will continue to do so. The results of the statistical tests conducted for the 2020 election forecast indicate that an improvement in macroeconomic conditions and a rise in homicides increase the likelihood of the jlp winning the general election held this year.

Ratings from senior elections editor steve shepard for every national contest from the 538 electoral college votes to the 435 house districts. Worst case scenario biden win. Election predictions in jamaica it takes 32 seats to win the general election.

Use the timeline feature to view the map as it looked at the end of each day. The economics and security model reports the likelihood of the people s national party pnp or the jamaica labour party jlp winning the general election held in 2020. The toss up tan color is used where neither candidate currently has a 65 or higher chance of winning.

Jamaica elections results 2020 showing declared seats constituency information and popular vote. General elections were held in jamaica on thursday 3 september 2020 to elect 63 members of parliament. Click the constituencies on this interactive map to create your own 2020 general election forecast.

In that map trump loses the rust belt because he didn t do anything to end outsourcing and loses arizona. This is the map i issued in my 2020 market outlook. The planning institute of jamaica has projected that the economy will contract by between four per cent and six per cent in fiscal year 2020 21 versus a pre covid forecast of 1 2 per cent growth.

Instead follow along on our election day live blog as we track results in real time. Following its win in 2016 the jlp government delivered on its promise to increase the income tax threshold to 1 5 million removing the burden of income tax payment from about 133 000 persons. Fivethirtyeight 2020 election forecast.