Election Forecast For Arizona
Chance of winning arizona over time the chance of either candidate winning arizona reflects the polls.
Election forecast for arizona. House in arizona s district 1 leans toward the democratic candidate. Our final pre election forecast is that joe biden is likely to beat donald trump in arizona. In the 2018 senate race republican.
Around 1 in 2. Our final pre election forecast is that mark kelly is likely to win arizona. Arizona is a full fledged electoral battleground in 2020 even though republicans have carried the state in five straight presidential races.
Fivethirtyeight 2020 election forecast. Published 11 19 2019 5 00 pm est updated 11 2 2020 4 30 am edt. Our 2020 forecasts presidential senate house are all now officially frozen meaning we won t be ingesting any new polls or updating the odds in any race.
Instead follow along on our election. Ratings from senior elections editor steve shepard for every national contest from the 538 electoral college votes to the 435 house districts. The toss up tan color is used where neither candidate currently has a 65 or higher chance of winning.
In the 2018 senate race republican. Updated every two hours this is an electoral map projection derived from the fivethirtyeight 2020 election forecast. 2020 election forecast we rate the race for u s.
Predicted range covers 95 of simulations chance of winning arizona over time our model is updated every day blending. Arizona is a full fledged electoral battleground in 2020 even though republicans have carried the state in five straight presidential races. 2020 election forecast we think the race for u s.