Us Election Day Forecast

All the latest news and results for the us election 2020 from the bbc.

Us election day forecast. Modelled popular vote on each day. Latest us elections 2020 news comment and analysis from the guardian the world s leading liberal voice. Ratings from senior elections editor steve shepard for every national contest from the 538 electoral college votes to the 435 house districts.

Senator from california kamala harris defeated the republican ticket of incumbent president donald trump and vice president mike pence trump became the first u s. California has certified its electors for the 2020 election. The model first averages the polls weighting them by their sample sizes and correcting them for tendencies to overestimate support for one party.

Instead follow along on our election day live blog as we track results in real time. President since 1992. Get a unique perspective of the presidential election with analysis around republican and democratic campaigns debates polls election results and more.

Election day mail in early. The 2020 united states presidential election was the 59th quadrennial presidential election held nominally on tuesday november 3 2020 the democratic ticket of former vice president joe biden and incumbent u s. The economist s first ever statistical forecast of an american presidential race which we launch this week and will update every day until the election gives mr biden an 82 chance of victory.

Our 2020 forecasts presidential senate house are all now officially frozen meaning we won t be ingesting any new polls or updating the odds in any race. As a rule when our estimated margin is steady in the presence of new data our forecast is more.