Election Year Stock Market Chart

In the 23 four year presidential election cycles beginning in 1928 through this year the market failed to produce a gain only five times in the third year of the cycle 1931 1939 1947 2011 and 2015 which on average outperformed the other.

Election year stock market chart. Mid term election year seasonal chart. As of market close on august 17 th 2020 the s p 500 was up 4 68 year to date total return and bloomberg barclays us. Is your time up.

Election year stock market returns. Jon vialoux is a registered associate portfolio manager at castlemoore inc. As you ll see july and august are usually great during election years even though they re normally flat.

Data below is from dimensional s matrix book 2019. This chart illustrates how the stock market has performed during the average mid term election year. Each series begins in the month of election and runs to the election of the next president.

Dow jones industrial average mid term election year seasonal chart. Stock market performance thus far in 2019 has coincided with the presidential election cycle pattern. In election years the market generally rallies all the way into early september.

And over the long term the stock market has performed well under all types of presidential administrations. The line at 45 weeks is approximately when the presidential election occurs. S p 500 annual stock market returns during election years.

Here are the market results for the s p 500 for every election year since 1928. The chart below plot the typical performance of the dow jones industrial index during a presidential election year. Historical returns of stocks and bonds during election years.