Election Prediction Vs 2016

Who will be president.

Election prediction vs 2016. A candidate needs at least 270 electoral votes to clinch the white house. Here s where the race stands with the states ordered by the projected margin between the candidates clinton s strongest states are farthest left trump s farthest right and sized by the number of electoral votes they will award. The safe prediction that clinton would.

38 percent democrats and 34 percent republicans. The election results and polls from 2016 are a case study in failure. Trump hovering at about 40 cents on the dollar with polymarket giving trump a.

In 2016 months of national polls confidently showed hillary clinton ahead and set many americans up for a shock on election night when the electoral college tilted decisively in trump s favor. 2016 gop mvp will be reince who steps up ensures open convention saves party from trump and produces ticket that wins in nov the weekly standard editor tweeted in june 2016. The sunday express democracy institute survey has mr.

Final 2016 projection from louis jacobson who has handicapped the electoral college in 2008 2012 and 2016 most recently for. Presidential election betting odds. Follow thefix on twitter for their latest commentary and analysis of the 2016 elections.

Trump with a one point lead 46 45 among 1 500. The upshot s presidential forecast updated with each new poll. Louis jacobson governing 2016 electoral map.

This is the story of election day in 2016 from the last gasp campaign events to the heady for clinton early hours and glorious for trump evening. Use this as a starting point to create and share your own 2016 election forecast. By josh katz updated november 8 2016.