Election Prediction For Senate

Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of senate seats each party will win surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.

Election prediction for senate. At the start of the 2020 cycle the senate wasn t. 16 electoral votes 2 senate races 14 house. 40 days left until election day.

Senator cory gardner loses. With the political conventions behind us and labor day approaching it s the time of year when down ballot elections start to kick into high gear. For purposes of this map only states rated safe by all four of these projections are shown in the darkest shade.

A consensus outlook for the 2020 senate elections based on the current ratings of forecasters at sabato s crystal ball the cook political report and inside elections as well as the probabilistic fivethirtyeight model. Current senate 116 th congress. The national atmosphere is toxic enough that senate republicans who hold a three seat majority are now slight.

Here s who we think will win the 2020 elections in georgia. Sun dec 13 2020. Hickenlooper has a lot of support across all of colorado having a successful run as governor of the state.

Use the buttons below the map to share it on social media or embed it into a web page. Our statistical model based on polls and search trends forecasts democrats having a 53 5 probability of winning the senate majority. This 3 part senate map lets you view the current senate make a forecast for the 2020 senate elections and see the composition of the 2021 senate based on those predictions.

As the election gets closer and as we get swamped with new polls the forecast will get less uncertain. Battle for the senate 2020. Senators angus king i me and bernie sanders i vt caucus with democrats.