Election Forecast Electoral College

It s been 144 years since the electoral college how we decide our presidents was last decided by a mere 1 electoral vote.

Election forecast electoral college. The midpoint is the estimate of the electoral college vote for each party on election day. The electoral college comprises a total of 538 members with each state getting a total number of electoral votes equal to its congressional delegation and three additional electoral votes for district of columbia. 2016 2012 2008 2004 2000 1996 1992 1988 1984 1980 1976 1972.

Biden is expected to get 306 votes to trump s 232 based on the results of the presidential election. According to our final presidential forecast pennsylvania is the most likely tipping point state and a lot of biden s chances in the electoral college hinge on what happens in the keystone state. Constitution the real election by marc levy published.

He leads trump there by about 5 points in our polling average but it s not as large a margin as biden might like. Hawaii is the last state to cast their electoral college votes at 7 p m. Our model is updated every day and combines state and national polls with economic indicators to predict a range of outcomes.

Use this map as a starting point to create and share your own 2020 presidential election forecast. Estimated electoral college votes. The gop leaders further warned senators that forcing their colleagues into a vote on electoral college challenges would prove difficult especially for those facing their own reelections in 2022.

The prediction market predictit shows shares for trump losing any state he won in. 270 electoral votes needed to win create your own map recent elections. Long election nights are what make junkies go wild and partisans go crazy.

The shift comes on the eve of the electoral college vote that will secure biden s position as president elect. Electoral college vote a big step to move past election the ballots signed by biden s chosen electors on monday are under the u s. Its 4 votes are.