Election Forecast Betting Market
On the eve of election day miller s forecast gives biden a 73 2 chance of winning the u s.
Election forecast betting market. Tilt 60 leans 60 likely 80 safe 90. Unless the odds are exactly 50 the toss up color is not used in this map. This is because betting on the us presidential election underdog is seen as a more risky bet.
Both the uk betting odds and predictit market prices also correspond to november 2nd. Use the timeline feature to view the map based on the final update each day. Update as of nov.
Updated every four hours this is an electoral map based on the then current predictit market odds for the 2020 presidential election. Numbers screenshots and analysis are subject to change over the next few hours. The following data was collected from the latest fivethirtyeight 2020 election forecast updates on november 2nd.
Get weekly updates sent to your inbox. This time the betting market prediction not only differs in percentage but also in favorite party. On the morning of election day miller s forecast a 75 7 chance of winning the u s.
Predictit has donald trump s price to win at 52 3 points above democrats trading at 49. The return on the wager is higher. Update as of 10 a m.